Market Outlook

Week of June 18, 2018

Market gains achieved earlier in the week were given back by last Friday as investors appeared to react to China's retaliatory tariffs on American exports. The deteriorating relationship between the United States and China escalated last week as the Trump administration revealed plans to impose tariffs of 25% on a significant number of Chinese imports. In response, China targeted U.S. exports, including cars and crude
oil, for similar tariffs. By the end of the week, the Dow fell the most, suffering through its largest one-week loss since March. Other than the Global Dow, the remaining indexes listed here posted gains, with the Nasdaq climbing over 1.30%. The S&P 500 was virtually unchanged, and the Russell 2000 gained over
0.50%.

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Week of May 29, 2018

Domestic indexes rose last week despite sinking energy stocks and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties. Oil prices plunged, pulling energy shares down following indications that OPEC was planning to increase production. President Trump's cancellation of the summit with North Korea coincided with a sharp drop in stocks earlier in the week. Uncertainty over the course of trade negotiations between the United States and China may have added to a lukewarm response to equities from investors. In any case, the large caps of the S&P 500 and the Dow posted marginal gains. The Nasdaq recorded the largest weekly gains, while continuing to lead the year-to-date tally.

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Week of May 7, 2018

Despite a closing rally last Friday, large caps closed the week down from the prior week. The tech-heavy Nasdaq and the small caps of the Russell 2000 fared better, up 1.26% and 0.60%, respectively. The jobs report sent mixed messages to investors, with the lowest unemployment rate in several years being offset by minuscule wage growth. Mixed corporate earnings reports coupled with the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates raised the question of whether economic growth is slowing. Meanwhile, the rhetoric following trade talks between the United States and China seemed positive. Actions may speak louder than words, however, as China shut off all imports of U.S. soybeans in apparent retaliation for U.S. tariffs.

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